The algorithm needs to be revoked so that supply and need come back into line. The Standard Method also required the application on algorithm which is seen by many informed persons including MPs, national organisations and local authorities as divisive and designed to artificially inflate housing need by factoring in economic differences between incomes and house prices which quite illogically assume that the difference is due to price elasticity and will disappear if we increase housing supply. As the current Local Plan was not adopted until adopted in 2017 questions need to be asked over whether the current Local Plan target average of 800 homes per year is already producing an over supply and whether this needs to be taken into account in assessing future needs. The Standard Method used for calculating housing need as set out in the NPPF stipulates use of the ONS growth predictions for 2014 which for Canterbury is almost twice that of current predictions and is, unquestionably, out of date. This equates to a need for 5.575 to 6,000 new homes by 2040 or 330 -350 new dwellings per year. Given that the largest single need is for three bedroom dwellings we can be fairly confident that that the number of persons per household will be in the region of 2.3 as used in recent planning applications.

The latest population figures we have, 2019, give a current population of approximately 165,400 and equals a population growth of about 13,230. States quite clearly that the latest ONS growth prediction, 2018 for the district up until 2040 is 8%.

The Housing Needs Assessment of May 2021. We have looked at the various Options and cannot support any of the options being offered. Section 1 Draft Vision and Growth options. Reduce carbon emissions to net zero by 2030. You can view the full plan and make comments by following this link: Ĭanterbury City Council has declared a climate emergency and is committed to

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